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Baseline Scenario

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Nov
15th
Sun
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I love correlations via CalculatedRisk Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate (image)

I love correlations via CalculatedRisk Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate (image)

Tags: finance   unemployment   housing   real estate  
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Oct
27th
Tue
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Guess What's Going Up Now

I completed missed the news that all money printing by Bank of England already managed to fuel asset price inflation in … housing! Due to lower inventory of unsold homes than elsewhere (USA, Spain), London house prices already surged past 2007 record high.

Tags: finance   housing   uk  
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Oct
24th
Sat
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For 2009, total foreclosures are estimated to be 2.4 million. But coupling state-by-state delinquency rates and foreclosure starts (as reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association) with other data, the CRL projects that for most states, foreclosure totals will more than triple over the coming 4 years, for a total of 8.1 million foreclosures, with only about one in ten of these being saved thanks to court-supervised modifications.
Tags: finance   foreclosures   housing  
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Jul
26th
Sun
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Tags: economics   housing  
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Jul
8th
Wed
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Tags: economics   housing   gdp  
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Feb
24th
Tue
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US Home Prices 26.7% Below Peak

From Reuters today:
In a separate index, home prices depreciated at a 18.2 percent pace in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, for the largest drop since the series began 21 years ago, it said. From the housing market peak in the second quarter of 2006, home prices have plummeted 26.7 percent, it said.

… and they are still above 2004 levels. Whereas stocks are at 1997 levels. If, hypothetically, house prices were to go back to 1997 levels as well, that would mean another 50% decline.

Tags: real estate   housing   case-schiller   index  
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